Publications

Trade credit insurance to the rescue in Hong Kong

Payment Practices Barometer

  • Hong Kong
  • Construction,
  • Consumer Durables,

20th May 2019

The use of trade credit in B2B transactions enhances financial flexibility and mitigates negative effects of increased global competition for Hong Kong's large enterprises and SMEs.

Practical Trading Information

Credit-to-Cash briefings, Export Practice papers and the quarterly updated Atradius Risk Map present information on areas that can affect trade.

Industry Performance Forecast

An at-a-glance summary graphic of the business performance and credit risk situation of key industries in major markets.

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    Argentina: clock is ticking 100 days after elections

    Economic research

    • Argentina
    • General economic

    11th February 2020

    The herculean task of restructuring Argentina's debt is underway but the risk of a disorderly default remains high.

    Promising markets for 2020

    Economic research

    • Brazil,
    • Colombia,
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    10th February 2020

    Despite increasing clouds on the horizon, there remain several bright spots for export opportunities in emerging markets.

    Country Report USA 2020

    Country report

    • USA
    • General economic

    6th February 2020

    US economic growth started to slow down last year, with GDP expected to expand 2.3% in 2019 and 1.7% in 2020.

    Country Report Mexico 2020

    Country report

    • Mexico
    • General economic

    6th February 2020

    Andrés Manuel López Obrador of the the leftist Morena party governs with a strong political mandate, as a Morena-led coalition has a majority in both houses of Congress.

    Country Report Canada 2020

    Country report

    • Canada
    • General economic

    6th February 2020

    As in 2019, Canada´s GDP growth is expected to remain below its long-term trend in 2020 due to sluggish domestic demand and lower export growth.

    Market Monitor Food Spain 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    A hard Brexit and an escalation of EU-US trade disputes are downside risks for export-dependent food companies in the olives/olive oil and meat segments.

    Market Monitor Food Poland 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Poland
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    In the food retail sector smaller and independent businesses are struggling to remain profitable due to fierce competition and high price pressure.

    Market Monitor Food Mexico 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Mexico
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    Food sales growth continues, and the economic impact of the USMCA agreement on consumers and food supply chains is expected to be relatively small.

    Market Monitor Food Ireland 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Ireland
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    Despite efforts of food exporters to diversify shipments away from Britain a hard Brexit remains a major threat, potentially leading to more insolvencies.

    Market Monitor Food Belgium 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Belgium
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    In the Belgian food retail segment a comprehensive price war cannot be ruled out for the future, potentially forcing many businesses out of the market.

    Market Monitor Food Australia 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Australia
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    The ongoing drought has put additional pressure on margins industrywide due to higher input costs, and many businesses are struggling to break-even.

    Market Monitor Food United Kingdom 2019

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    Larger players continue to push the supply chain on price and longer payment terms, adding cash flow challenges to mainly smaller food businesses.

    Market Monitor Food Netherlands 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Netherlands
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    While businesses´ profits are still stable and financials mainly solid, environmental issues pose a potential major challenge for agriculture and food.

    Market Monitor Food Italy 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    The ongoing concentration process in the domestic market will increasingly put small retailers with a poor capacity to generate cash flow under pressure.

    Market Monitor Food Germany 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    Insolvencies are expected to increase by about 1%-2% in 2020, mainly in the troubled meat segment and the beverages and fruit & vegetables subsectors.

    Market Monitor Food France 2019

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    A modest margin rebound, but commodity prices, price wars between retailers, changing consumer habits and difficulties in staff recruitment remain issues.

    Market Monitor Food Denmark 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Denmark
    • Food

    17th December 2019

    While several Brexit postponenements have provided food exporters with sufficient time to adapt, small retailers suffer from market price pressure.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel United Kingdom 2019

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    Domestic metals and steel demand is increasingly affected by subdued investment in the construction sector and a marked demand slowdown from automotive.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel Germany 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    Many businesses suffer from decreasing demand from key buyer sectors, high commodity prices, overcapacity, strong competition, and low profitability.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel USA 2019

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    A modest increase in payment delays cannot be ruled out in the coming 12 months, but no substantial insolvency increase is expected for the industry.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel China 2019

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    The number of protracted payments and insolvencies was high in 2019, and is expected to increase further in 2020, mainly affecting private-owned producers.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel France 2019

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    Payment delays and business failures are expected to increase modestly in the coming twelve months, especially in the metal manufacturing segment.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel Italy 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    For many businesses both demand and profit margins are expected to deteriorate further, with a moderate rebound expected in H2 of 2020 at the earliest.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel Canada 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Canada
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    The sector benefits from the lift of US import tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminium, with profit margins of steel businesses expected to improve again.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel Belgium 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Belgium
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    Demand for metals and steel is currently impacted by the slowdown in demand from automotive and reduced investment from other manufacturing industries.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel India 2019

    Market Monitor

    • India
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    Due to a high level of non-performing assets in the sector banks are now unwilling to provide credit to the industry, causing additional liquidity issues.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel Spain 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    Lower demand coupled with decreasing sales prices and higher prices for iron ore have led to deteriorating margins of steel producers and distributors.

    Market Monitor Metals and Steel Poland 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Poland
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    26th November 2019

    Competitive price pressure has led to deteriorationg profit margins for steel producers as well as steel and metals distributors over the past 12 months.

    Global Economic Outlook - November 2019

    Economic research

    • Algeria,
    • Angola,
    • General economic

    19th November 2019

    The global economy is losing steam in 2019 and 2020. As the trade war accelerates this, consumer resilience will help avoid recession.

    Peronists back in power, herculean task ahead

    Economic research

    • Argentina
    • General economic

    5th November 2019

    Regaining investors’ trust will be key to Fernández’s success in reinvigorating the Argentinian economy, but it is not the only thing.

    Cyprus country update October 2019

    Economic research

    • General economic

    22nd October 2019

    Cyprus's economy is on solid ground but crisis legacies persist.

    Ireland: default risk soars on vague economic outlook

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Ireland
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    22nd October 2019

    Ireland’s highly open economy is cooling off and demand in export markets is set to remain weak while the domestic economy faces increasing capacity constraints and lower government spending.

    UK: insolvencies increase as risk climate deteriorates

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • United Kingdom
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    22nd October 2019

    The UK is facing the highest increase in insolvencies in 2019 and 2020 in Western Europe.

    Italy: insolvencies again on the rise after some years

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Italy
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    22nd October 2019

    In Italy, business insolvencies are expected to increase in 2019, by about 4%. This is due to economic stagnation, increased political uncertainty and tighter credit conditions.

    Germany: increase in late payments worries businesses

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Germany
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Consumer Durables,

    22nd October 2019

    Economic growth in Germany is expected to cool to 0.6% in 2019 down from 1.6% one year ago.

    Netherlands: how businesses react to payment defaults?

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Netherlands
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    22nd October 2019

    GDP growth in the Netherlands is expected to slow to 1.7% in 2019. After several years of sharp decreases in insolvencies, this year is likely to mark a turning point.

    Western Europe: businesses' financial stability at risk

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Austria,
    • Belgium,
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Construction,

    22nd October 2019

    As economic growth decelerates, and the manufacturing sector struggles amid lower global trade, Western Europe expects to close the year with a 2.7% increase in insolvencies.

    Country Report Russia 2019

    Country report

    • Russia
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    Insolvencies are rising, and structural weaknesses and the negative impact of sanctions on productivity and investment weigh on the economic expansion.

    Country Report Turkey 2019

    Country report

    • Turkey
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    Due to the recent economic downturn the credit risk situation of some major industries has deteriorated, and insolvencies are expected to increase.

    Country Report Poland 2019

    Country report

    • Poland
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    Worries over the impact of adverse external factors like US import tariffs and the Brexit decision on Polish export and investment growth remain.

    Country Report Greece 2019

    Country report

    • Greece
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    In 2020 household consumption is expected to accelerate, sustained by further decreasing unemployment, low inflation, and a minimum wage increase.

    Country Report Czech Republic 2019

    Country report

    • Czech Republic
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    The economy is highly integrated into international value chains, making it vulnerable to major foreign trade losses, especially in the automotive sector.

    Country Report Hungary 2019

    Country report

    • Hungary
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    The forint remains vulnerable to international investors’ sentiment due to the elevated external and public debt levels and institutional issues.

    Country Report Slovakia 2019

    Country report

    • Slovakia
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    As the economy is reliant on automotive-related exports to the Eurozone, especially to Germany, it is vulnerable to adverse developments in the industry.

    Country Report Romania 2019

    Country report

    • Romania
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    The currency is subject to some volatility, and the country is vulnerable to capital outflows should there be adverse internal or external developments.

    Country Report Bulgaria 2019

    Country report

    • Bulgaria
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    Political instability remains an issue for the long-term economic growth prospects, while corruption and red tape still hamper the business environment.

    MENA Country Report UAE 2019

    Country report

    • United Arab Emirates
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    Despite a modest economic rebound the business performance and credit risk situation of several industries remains strained, especially in Dubai.

    MENA Country Report Saudi Arabia 2019

    Country report

    • Saudi Arabia
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    Beside deterioration of payment behaviour in the private sector, the number of payment delays in larger projects dependent on government funding is still high.

    MENA Country Report Egypt 2019

    Country report

    • Egypt
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    In 2019 and 2020 growth is expected to exceed 5%, supported by exchange rate liberalization, interest rate normalisation and increasing tourist arrivals.

    MENA Country Report Morocco 2019

    Country report

    • Morocco
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    The economy is currently forecast to expand by about 3.5% in 2020, however, this depends on decent performance in agriculture, tourism, and exports.

    Disclaimer

    The statements made herein are provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be relied upon for any purpose. Please refer to the actual policy or the relevant product or services agreement for the governing terms. Nothing herein should be construed to create any right, obligation or responsibility on the part of Atradius, including any obligation to conduct due diligence of buyers or on your behalf. If Atradius does conduct due diligence on any buyer it is for its own underwriting purposes and not for the benefit of the insured or any other person. Additionally, in no event shall Atradius and its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the statements made information herein.