化工業產業趨勢 - 西班牙 2022

市場監測

  • 西班牙
  • 化學/制藥

2022年11月24日

流動資金捉襟見肘的擔憂加劇

 

西班牙化工 - 信用風險評估

2022年到目前為止,汽車和建築等主要買家產業的需求維持穩定。可是通膨持續居高不下,2023年的經濟成長率預期低至0.8%,未來幾個月的銷售額很可能會惡化。能源(天然氣)和大宗商品成本高昂,導致2022年第二季利潤下滑,自第三季起,化學品生產商開始將上漲的成本轉嫁給終端客戶。於是賺回了部分利潤。此外,西班牙政府實施國家擔保貸款和天然氣價格上限措施,扶助受能源價格高漲影響的化工業和其他產業。

西班牙化工企業的槓桿率普遍不高,因為這個產業現金流和EBITDA均十分出色。銀行大多願意提供貸款,而滿足收購、重要投資(例如廠房和設備)或營運資金之需則通常需要銀行融資。

西班牙化學品產出

根據最新Atradius付款習慣評量表指出,西班牙化工業的平均付款期限為67天,而銷售欠款天數(DSO)平均超過100天。企業擔心未來幾個月DSO惡化,隨後陷入流動資金捉襟見肘的困境。過去12個月期間,付款延遲和無力償還情況不高,所以2023年預期這情況會有所增加,因為需求萎縮且投入成本居高不下。不過化工業表現預期不會有什麼嚴重惡化。

目前西班牙化工業所有細產業的信用風險情況可評為「一般」。不過下滑風險依然存在,因為融資成本升高,付款行為惡化,讓企業財務壓力備增,同時主要買家產業的需求也即將下滑。與此同時,西班牙化學公司也許可享有明年競爭較少的優勢。如果中歐化工業者因天然氣價格進一步上漲,或天然氣配給不足而被迫減產,那麼競爭自然變少

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